- Which teams are good as in, which teams are out, and which teams are still unknown?
You are a "lock" if you could lose every single game remaining on the schedule and still make it in. You are "probable" if you keep playing how you have been playing and would still make it in or be very near the edge of the bracket. "Prayer" requires that you can only make the tournament if you play out of your mind, winning just about everything but your conference tournament final. And "out" is just that, out unless you win your conference tournament.
Another week of games puts us a week closer to Selection Sunday, so there definitely were some teams moving around on these lists after this week's games.
ACC
Locks: Syracuse
Probable: Virginia, Duke, Pittsburgh, North Carolina, Clemson, Florida State
Prayer: NC State, Maryland, Wake Forest, Notre Dame, Georgia Tech
Out: Miami (FL), Boston College, Virginia Tech
American
Locks: Cincinnati
Probable: Louisville, SMU, Memphis, Connecticut
Prayer: Houston
Out: Rutgers, South Florida, Temple, UCF
Atlantic 10
Locks: Saint Louis
Probable: VCU, George Washington, Richmond, Saint Joseph's, Massachusetts, Dayton
Prayer: La Salle, St. Bonaventure
Out: George Mason, Rhode Island, Duquesne, Fordham
Big 12
Locks: None
Probable: Kansas, Texas, Kansas State, Oklahoma, West Virginia, Iowa State, Oklahoma State
Prayer: Texas Tech, Baylor
Out: TCU
Big East
Locks: Villanova, Creighton
Probable: Xavier, Marquette, St. John's, Georgetown, Providence
Prayer: None
Out: Seton Hall, DePaul, Butler
Big Ten
Locks: Michigan State, Michigan
Probable: Iowa, Wisconsin, Ohio State, Minnesota
Prayer: Nebraska, Northwestern, Indiana, Purdue, Penn State, Illinois
Out: None
Colonial
Locks: None
Probable: None
Prayer: Delaware
Out: Everyone Else
Conference USA
Locks: None
Probable: Southern Miss, Louisiana Tech
Prayer: UTEP, Middle Tennessee
Out: Everyone Else
Horizon
Locks: None
Probable: Green Bay
Prayer: Cleveland State
Out: Everyone Else
Ivy
Locks: None
Probable: Harvard
Prayer: None
Out: Everyone Else
MAC
Locks: None
Probable: Toledo
Prayer: None
Out: Everyone Else
Missouri Valley
Locks: Wichita State
Probable: None
Prayer: Indiana State
Out: Everyone Else
Mountain West
Locks: San Diego State
Probable: New Mexico
Prayer: UNLV, Nevada, Wyoming, Boise State
Out: Utah State, Colorado State, Fresno State, Air Force, San Jose State
Pac-12
Locks: Arizona
Probable: UCLA, Arizona State, California, Colorado, Stanford, Utah, Oregon
Prayer: Washington, Oregon State
Out: Washington State, USC
SEC
Locks: Florida
Probable: Kentucky, Tennessee, LSU, Missouri, Arkansas
Prayer: Ole Miss, Georgia, Vanderbilt, Texas A&M
Out: Alabama, Auburn, Mississippi State, South Carolina
Summit
Locks: None
Probable: None
Prayer: North Dakota State
Out: Everyone Else
WCC
Locks: Gonzaga
Probable: BYU, Saint Mary's
Prayer: None
Out: San Francisco, Pepperdine, Portland, Pacific, Santa Clara, San Diego, Loyola Marymount
After that, every remaining conference will only has a chance at one bid, and that one will go to the winner of each conference's tournament.
Again, Arizona lost to ASU, but the big story again was the refs. (Refs causing Arizona a game? Shocking!) The refs missed three technical fouls (for hanging on the rim after a dunk, for the bench storming the court while the game was still going, and for the crowd storming the court and refusing to leave while the game was still going) and a goaltend. But whatever. Arizona would still be a #1 seed. Here's the rest of Friday's action.
Louisville 82, @Temple 58
SMU 77, @Rutgers 65
@Iona 89, Monmouth 70
Harvard 88, @Columbia 84 (2OT)
@Mercer 79, Lipscomb 48
@Arizona State 69, Arizona 66 (2OT)
Saturday has another great slate of games. Biggest games of interest are the games for the teams at the top of the A-10, Memphis at UConn, Pitt at UNC, Oklahoma at Oklahoma State, Tennessee at Missouri, and BYU at Saint Mary's.
#4 Virginia at Clemson
#9 Memphis at #7 Connecticut
#3 Iowa at Penn State
#6 Pittsburgh at #8 North Carolina
Texas Tech at #5 Iowa State
#6 VCU at #4 Saint Louis
#9 Oklahoma at #9 Oklahoma State
(LFI) #12 Southern Miss at Middle Tennessee
#16 American at Lafayette
DePaul at (FFO) Providence
#7 Massachusetts at #8 George Washington
UMBC at #15 Vermont
#11 Toledo at Eastern Michigan
#16 Davidson at Georgia Southern
NC State at #1 Syracuse
Houston at #6 Cincinnati
(LFI) #12 California at Washington
TCU at #2 Kansas
Mount St. Mary's at #16 Robert Morris
#10 Xavier at Marquette
#10 Tennessee at #11 Missouri
#13 Green Bay at Cleveland State
#13 Stephen F. Austin at Sam Houston State
(NFO) Utah at #5 UCLA
#13 North Dakota State at Omaha
Maryland at #2 Duke
#15 Georgia State at Troy
Arkansas Pine Bluff at #16 Southern
Fordham at (NFO) Richmond
#15 North Carolina Central at South Carolina State
Nevada at #9 New Mexico
Gardner-Webb at #16 Coastal Carolina
Cal State Northridge at #13 UC Santa Barbara
#11 Harvard at Cornell
#10 Stanford at Washington State
#8 Kansas State at Baylor
(NFO) West Virginia at #7 Texas
#5 Ohio State at Illinois
Rice at #12 Louisiana Tech
(NFO) Florida State at Wake Forest
(FFO) BYU at (LFI) #12 Saint Mary's
Loyola Marymount at #6 Gonzaga
Air Force at #4 San Diego State
#2 Florida at #4 Kentucky
Chicago State at #14 New Mexico State
Northern Kentucky at #14 Mercer
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